Statistics IUnit 57 min read

Normal Distribution – Key Concepts and Applications

Unit 5 of Statistics I: covers the normal distribution, its defining properties, standardisation, probability calculations, approximation to other discrete distributions, and real‑world applications with worked examples.

Key points

  • The normal distribution is continuous, symmetric, and fully described by its mean \( \mu \) and standard deviation \( \sigma \).
  • Standardisation transforms any normal variable to the standard normal \( Z \sim N(0,1) \) using \( Z = \frac{X-\mu}{\sigma} \).
  • Probabilities for normal variables are obtained from the standard normal table or software; the area under the curve equals 1.
  • The normal distribution is used to model many natural and engineered processes (e.g., measurement errors, human heights, stock returns).
  • Normal approximation to binomial and Poisson is valid when \( np \) and \( n(1-p) \) are large (≥ 5).

Introduction

The normal distribution, also called the Gaussian distribution, is the most frequently encountered continuous probability distribution in statistics. It arises naturally from the Central Limit Theorem: the sum (or average) of many independent, identically distributed random variables tends to a normal distribution, regardless of the original distribution.

Definition

A random variable follows a normal distribution with parameters (mean) and (variance) if its probability density function (pdf) is

-4-3-2-1123420040060080010001200xyf(z) = N(0,1)
Normal curve (left: general; right: standardised)

The pdf is bell‑shaped, symmetric about , and its total area equals 1.

Key Properties

Property Description
Mean, Median, Mode All equal to .
Symmetry .
Tails As , .
Standard Deviation Controls spread; 68 % of data lie within , 95 % within , 99.7 % within .
Moment Generating Function .

Standardisation

To compute probabilities, we convert to the standard normal variable :

This transformation preserves the shape of the distribution and allows us to use the standard normal table.

-3-2-10123μXZ = (X-μ)/σ
Standardisation: X → Z on the standard normal curve (μ=0, σ=1)

Probability Calculations

Using the Standard Normal Table

The standard normal table lists . To find :

  1. Standardise both limits: , .
  2. Look up and .
  3. Subtract: .

Worked Example 1 – Resistor Tolerance

A factory produces resistors with and . What percentage of resistors lie between and ?

Solution

From the standard normal table:

→ 68.3 %.

Probability of a Single Value

For a continuous variable, . Probabilities are always for intervals.

Normal Approximation to Binomial

When is large and not too close to 0 or 1, the binomial can be approximated by . Apply a continuity correction: replace by .

Worked Example 2 – Binomial Approximation

A quality inspector finds that 30 % of chips are defective. In a batch of 200 chips, what is the probability that at most 70 are defective?


Mean , SD .

Standardise with continuity correction:
.

From the table: .
So 94.95 % chance that at most 70 chips are defective.

Applications in the Real World

In the Real World

Product / Company Idea Used How It Works
eSewa Transaction amount distribution User payment amounts are roughly normal; risk models use mean and SD to flag outliers.
Daraz Order processing time Average delivery time  min,  min; 95 % of orders delivered within 20–40 min.
Ncell Signal strength Received signal strength  dBm,  dBm; 68 % of users experience between –83 and –77 dBm.
NEPSE Daily stock return Daily return , ; probability of a > 3 % gain is .
Google Search Latency Query response time Mean latency  ms,  ms; 99.7 % of queries finish within 75–165 ms.

Worked Example – Bank Loan Interest

A bank offers loans with an average annual interest rate of and a standard deviation of . What is the probability that a randomly chosen loan has an interest rate exceeding ?

Solution
.
.
So 15.9 % of loans have rates above 10 %.

Comparison with Other Distributions

Distribution Shape Parameters When to Use
Normal Bell‑shaped, symmetric Continuous data, measurement errors, CLT
Binomial Discrete, skewed Number of successes in fixed trials
Poisson Discrete, right‑skewed Rare events over fixed interval
Exponential Continuous, right‑skewed Time between events

Advantages of Normal

  • Closed‑form pdf and cdf (via error function).
  • Simple to standardise and use tables or software.
  • Central Limit Theorem guarantees normality for sums of many variables.

Disadvantages

  • Assumes infinite support; real data may have natural bounds.
  • Sensitive to outliers; heavy‑tailed data may be poorly modeled.

Visualising Normal Data

Histogram of Sample Data

A sample of 50 measurements of a manufactured part’s length (mm) is shown below. The histogram approximates a normal shape, confirming the assumption.

Standard Normal Table Snippet

A compact view of the standard normal cumulative probabilities for from 0.00 to 3.00.

Summary

  • The normal distribution is fully characterised by its mean and standard deviation.
  • Standardisation to allows universal probability calculations.
  • Normal approximation is a powerful tool for discrete problems.
  • Many everyday systems (payments, logistics, telecommunications, finance) rely on normal models for decision making.

Exam Tip

  • Know the formulae: pdf, standardisation, probability bounds (68‑95‑99.7 rule).
  • Practice table look‑ups: be comfortable reading and applying continuity corrections.
  • Work through approximation problems: identify and , compute and , apply continuity correction.
  • Draw the curve: sketching the normal curve with shaded areas helps visualise the problem.
  • Check units: when dealing with percentages or physical units, convert to the same scale before standardising.


Based on the TU BSc CSIT syllabus for Statistics I (STA169), unit 5.

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