Statistics IUnit 57 min read
Normal Distribution – Key Concepts and Applications
Unit 5 of Statistics I: covers the normal distribution, its defining properties, standardisation, probability calculations, approximation to other discrete distributions, and real‑world applications with worked examples.
Key points
- The normal distribution is continuous, symmetric, and fully described by its mean \( \mu \) and standard deviation \( \sigma \).
- Standardisation transforms any normal variable to the standard normal \( Z \sim N(0,1) \) using \( Z = \frac{X-\mu}{\sigma} \).
- Probabilities for normal variables are obtained from the standard normal table or software; the area under the curve equals 1.
- The normal distribution is used to model many natural and engineered processes (e.g., measurement errors, human heights, stock returns).
- Normal approximation to binomial and Poisson is valid when \( np \) and \( n(1-p) \) are large (≥ 5).
Introduction
The normal distribution, also called the Gaussian distribution, is the most frequently encountered continuous probability distribution in statistics. It arises naturally from the Central Limit Theorem: the sum (or average) of many independent, identically distributed random variables tends to a normal distribution, regardless of the original distribution.
Definition
A random variable follows a normal distribution with parameters (mean) and (variance) if its probability density function (pdf) is
The pdf is bell‑shaped, symmetric about , and its total area equals 1.
Key Properties
| Property | Description |
|---|---|
| Mean, Median, Mode | All equal to . |
| Symmetry | . |
| Tails | As , . |
| Standard Deviation | Controls spread; 68 % of data lie within , 95 % within , 99.7 % within . |
| Moment Generating Function | . |
Standardisation
To compute probabilities, we convert to the standard normal variable :
This transformation preserves the shape of the distribution and allows us to use the standard normal table.
Probability Calculations
Using the Standard Normal Table
The standard normal table lists . To find :
- Standardise both limits: , .
- Look up and .
- Subtract: .
Worked Example 1 – Resistor Tolerance
A factory produces resistors with and . What percentage of resistors lie between and ?
Solution
From the standard normal table:
→ 68.3 %.
Probability of a Single Value
For a continuous variable, . Probabilities are always for intervals.
Normal Approximation to Binomial
When is large and not too close to 0 or 1, the binomial can be approximated by . Apply a continuity correction: replace by .
Worked Example 2 – Binomial Approximation
A quality inspector finds that 30 % of chips are defective. In a batch of 200 chips, what is the probability that at most 70 are defective?
Mean , SD .
Standardise with continuity correction:
.
From the table: .
So 94.95 % chance that at most 70 chips are defective.
Applications in the Real World
In the Real World
| Product / Company | Idea Used | How It Works |
|---|---|---|
| eSewa | Transaction amount distribution | User payment amounts are roughly normal; risk models use mean and SD to flag outliers. |
| Daraz | Order processing time | Average delivery time min, min; 95 % of orders delivered within 20–40 min. |
| Ncell | Signal strength | Received signal strength dBm, dBm; 68 % of users experience between –83 and –77 dBm. |
| NEPSE | Daily stock return | Daily return , ; probability of a > 3 % gain is . |
| Google Search Latency | Query response time | Mean latency ms, ms; 99.7 % of queries finish within 75–165 ms. |
Worked Example – Bank Loan Interest
A bank offers loans with an average annual interest rate of and a standard deviation of . What is the probability that a randomly chosen loan has an interest rate exceeding ?
Solution
.
.
So 15.9 % of loans have rates above 10 %.
Comparison with Other Distributions
| Distribution | Shape | Parameters | When to Use |
|---|---|---|---|
| Normal | Bell‑shaped, symmetric | Continuous data, measurement errors, CLT | |
| Binomial | Discrete, skewed | Number of successes in fixed trials | |
| Poisson | Discrete, right‑skewed | Rare events over fixed interval | |
| Exponential | Continuous, right‑skewed | Time between events |
Advantages of Normal
- Closed‑form pdf and cdf (via error function).
- Simple to standardise and use tables or software.
- Central Limit Theorem guarantees normality for sums of many variables.
Disadvantages
- Assumes infinite support; real data may have natural bounds.
- Sensitive to outliers; heavy‑tailed data may be poorly modeled.
Visualising Normal Data
Histogram of Sample Data
A sample of 50 measurements of a manufactured part’s length (mm) is shown below. The histogram approximates a normal shape, confirming the assumption.
Standard Normal Table Snippet
A compact view of the standard normal cumulative probabilities for from 0.00 to 3.00.
Summary
- The normal distribution is fully characterised by its mean and standard deviation.
- Standardisation to allows universal probability calculations.
- Normal approximation is a powerful tool for discrete problems.
- Many everyday systems (payments, logistics, telecommunications, finance) rely on normal models for decision making.
Exam Tip
- Know the formulae: pdf, standardisation, probability bounds (68‑95‑99.7 rule).
- Practice table look‑ups: be comfortable reading and applying continuity corrections.
- Work through approximation problems: identify and , compute and , apply continuity correction.
- Draw the curve: sketching the normal curve with shaded areas helps visualise the problem.
- Check units: when dealing with percentages or physical units, convert to the same scale before standardising.
Based on the TU BSc CSIT syllabus for Statistics I (STA169), unit 5.
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